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The Energy Information Administration has revised its forecast for 2009 U.S. industrial natural gas demand, to decline by 7.4% this year. It predicts total natural gas consumption to fall 1.8% in 2009. U.S. natural gas production is expected to decline 0.3% in 2009, and to slip 1% in 2010. EIA predicts natural gas Henry Hub prices to average $4.24/mcf in 2009 and $5.83/mcf in 2010, compared with $9.13/mcf in 2008.

Chesapeake Energy has elected to further curtail its gas production, by a total of 400 mmcf in 2009, representing approximately 13% of Chesapeake’s production capacity.

One petroleum geologist and industry consultant, Arthur Berman, believes that the Haynesville Shale in Lousiana, touted as the hottest onshore gas play in North America, is overrated. His analysis of early discoveries shows that the wells decline rapidly, cost about $7.5 million per well to drill and complete, and would require a price of $8/mcf to break even.  http://petroleumtruthreport.blogspot.com 

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Range Resources announced on April 16 that it had completed a horizontal well in the Barnett Shale in southern Tarrant County that produced an average of 9.6 mmcf per day for the first 30 days of its production. This would be the largest Barnett Shale well completed to date. Range currently has three rigs drilling in the Barnett Shale.

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Seismic surveys have become the primary tool of exploration companies in the continental United States, both onshore and offshore.  3-D seismic surveys have lowered finding costs and allloowed exploration for reserves not locatable by other means, revolutionizing the industry.  Below is a non-scientific explanation of how seismic surveys work.

A seismic survey is conducted by creating a shock wave – a seismic wave – on the surface of the ground along a predetermined line, using an energy source. The seismic wave travels into the earth, is reflected by subsurface formations, and returns to the surface where it is recorded by receivers called geophones – similar to microphones. The seismic waves are created either by smalle xplosive charges set off in shallow holes (“shot holes“) or by large vehicles equipped with heave plates (“Veibroseis” trucks) that vibrate on the ground. By analyzing the time it takes for the seismic waves to reflect off of subsurface formations and return to the surface, a geophysicist can map subsurface formations and anomalies and predict where oil or gas may be trapped in sufficient quantities for exploration activities.

seismic truck

Until relatively recently, seismic surveys were conducted along a single line on the ground, and their analysis created a two-dimensional picture akin to a slice through the earth beneath that line, showing the subsurface geology along that line. This is referred to as two-dimensional or 2D seismic data.

A 2D Seismic Line Image:

2D seismic

 

In the last 20-30 years, with the development of computers, geophysicists have been able to take seismic testing to a new level by conducting three-dimensional, or 3D, seismic tests. In 1980, about 100 3D surveys had been performed. By the mid 1990’s, 200 to 300 3-D surveys were being performed each year. In the 1980’s it took the most sophisticated Cray computers to analyze the data. Today, the analysis is performed on super-desk-top computers. Currently, almost all oil and gas exploratory wells are preceded by 3-D seismic surveys. The basic method of testing is the same as for 2D, but instead of a single line of energy source points and receiver points, the source points and receiver points are laid out in a grid across the property. The resulting recorded reflections received at each receiver point come from all directions, and sophisticated computer programs can analyze this data to create a three-dimensional image of the subsurface.

A 3D Seismic Image:

3D seismic

3D surveys can be conducted in almost any environment – in the ocean, in swamps, and in urban areas. A 3D seismic survey may cover many square miles of land and may cost $40,000 to $100,000 per square mile or more. The data obtained from such a survey is therefore very valuable, and if protected from disclosure constitutes a trade secret.  Seismic datea is licensed, bought and sold by seismic survey companies, brokers and exploration companies.

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President Obama, in an attempt to recoup some of the money being spent to revive the economy, proposes to repeal several tax provisions near and dear to the oil and gas industry:

  • Enhanced oil recovery credit
  • Marginal well tax credit
  • Expensing of intangible drilling costs
  • Deduction for tertiary injectants
  • Passive loss exception for working interest owners in oil and gas properties
  • Manufacturing tax deduction for oil and gas companies
  • Percentage depletion deduction for oil and gas
  • Not surprisingly, the oil and gas industry is mounting a huge lobbying campaign to prevent loss of these tax benefits. 

The only one of these tax benefits that directly affects royalty owners is the percentage depletion deduction.  Currently, 15% of royalty income is deductible as “percentage depletion.”  The deduction is intended to recognize that the sale of oil and gas is in part the sale of a depleting asset, so that a portion of the royalty should be treated like a return of capital rather than as income.

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H.R. 1835, the New Alternative Transportation to Give Americans Solutions Act of 2009 (NAT GAS Act) was introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives by Dan Boren (D-OK), John Larson (D-CT) and John Sullivan (R-OK).  Its purpose is to promote the use of natural gas in vehicles, with an emphasis on large trucks and fleet vehicles.  It wiould provide incentives for installation of natural gas fueling stations.  It is the first legislation to promote Boon Pickens’ plan to use domestic natural gas to reduce dependence on foreign oil.

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Chesapeake Energy has obtained City approval for a “master drilling plan” that lays out plans to drill 69 horizontal wells from seven drilling locations within the City of Fort Worth.  The plan identifies the drilling locations and the gathering lines, and how produced water will be disposed of.  The plan shows how horizontal drilling technology has revolutionized the drilling of wells in shale formations. 
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In a previous post I discussed a recent Texas Supreme Court case, Exxon v. Emerald, reversing a multimillion-dollar judgment against Exxon for intentionally sabatoging wells so that they could not be re-entered. This nudged me to look at other royalty-owner related cases handed down by the Texas Supreme Court over the last ten years. The court’s record is not a good one for royalty owners. Highlights of the Court’s work:

HECI v. Neel (1998). HECI sued an adjacent operator for illegal production on an adjoining lease that damaged the common reservoir underlying both leases, and recovered a judgment for more than $3.7 million. HECI did not inform its royalty owners of the suit and did not share any of the judgment proceeds with the royalty owners. When HECI’s royalty owners found out about the suit, they sued HECI to recover their share of the judgment. The Supreme Court held that the royalty owners had waited too long to bring their suit, even though they did not find out about the suit until five years after the trial. The Court held that the royalty owners should have known that the adjacent operator was damaging the common reservoir by its operations.

Yzaguirre v. KCS Resources (2001). Plaintiffs were royalty owners who received royalties under a lease operated by KCS. KCS sold its gas under a 20-year contract with Tennessee Gas Pipeline, and the price under the Tennessee contract greatly exceeded the spot market price of the gas. But KCS paid royalties based on the “market value” of the gas, using comparable spot sale prices, well below the price it received from Tennessee. The Court held that KCS did not owe royalties based on the Tennessee price — and, it held that the Tennessee contract was not even competent evidence of the market value of the gas.

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Renewable energy is a hot topic in the new Obama Administration.  Wind Energy is being touted, especially in Texas, as a solution to global warming and U.S. dependence on foreign oil.  Wind farms have sprouted all across Texas.  Texas is now the leading wind energy producing state.  Texas utilities are about to spend billions of dollars extending high-voltage transmission lines into West Texas and the Panhandle, opening up those areas to additional wind energy projects.  The Texas Panhandle will see the next boom in wind energy development.  Having grown up in the Panhandle, I can verify that the wind blows there.

Three points are good to keep in mind when reading stories about renewable energy in general, and wind energy in particular.  First, it is important to distinguish between two different goals being pursued by the Obama Administration:  freedom from dependence on foreign oil, and reduction of carbon emissions.  Wind energy is “clean,” because it does not produce CO2.  To the extent that wind energy can replace conventional coal- and natural gas-burning power plants, it therefore reduces CO2 emissions, thus fighting global warming.  But wind energy has little or no effect on imports of oil, which is mostly used for fueling cars and trucks.  If and when the auto industry solves the battery problem and is able to produce electric cars, wind energy could contribute to reduction in oil imports. 

Second, it is important to understand that, although wind farms are increasing exponentially, they contribute only a tiny portion of the nation’s total energy consumption.  According to the Energy Information Administration, as illustrated below, in 2007 wind energy contributed only 5% of 7% of the nation’s energy — .35%!

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On March 27, the Texas Supreme Court issued its opinions in two related cases, both styled Exxon Corporation v. Emerald Oil & Gas Company. The cases were argued before the court more than two years ago, and the decisions were awaited with much anticipation. The Court reversed a judgment against Exxon for $8.6 million in actual damages and $10 million in punitive damages.

The facts in the case are remarkable. In the 1950’s Exxon’s predecessor Humble Oil & Refining Company obtained oil and gas leases covering several thousand acres in Refugio County owned by the O’Connor family. The leases were quite unusual;  among other things, they provided for a 50% landowners’ royalty. Exxon drilled 121 wells and produced more than 15 million barrels of oil and 65 billion cubic feet of gas from the O’Connor lands. In the 1980’s Exxon asked the O’Connors to reduced their royalty, claiming that the leases were becoming uneconomical.  Those negotiations failed, and in 1989 Exxon notified the O’Connors that it intended to start plugging wells and abandoning the leases. Negotiations for the O’Connors to take over operation of the wells were not successful, and Exxon began plugging wells and abandoning the leases.

 

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Exploration companies have traditionally used bank drafts to pay bonuses for oil and gas leases.  Since drafts look a lot like a check, they can be misleading to mineral owners.  Some mineral owners’ recent experiences with dishonored drafts have highlighted the problems with use of these financial instruments.

 A draft is like a check, but different.  It is an order issued to a bank to pay a party, conditioned on the happening of a specified event.  As used by exploration companies, it is an order issued by a company or its landman to the company’s bank to pay the bonus to the mineral owner.  Typically, the draft provides that the company has a period of time – 30 to 90 days – from the date its bank receives the draft to “honor” the draft – that is, to tell the bank to pay the bonus to the mineral owner.  The draft typically has language like the following:

On approval of lease or mineral deed described herein, and on approval of title to same by drawee not later than 30 days after arrival of this draft at collecting bank.

In other words, the company has 30 days to approve the oil and gas lease being paid for and to approve the mineral owner’s title to the minerals being leased.  If the company does not approve the lease, or if it determines that the mineral owner does not have good title to the minerals being leased, it can refuse to pay the draft.

 Use of drafts to pay for leases would seem to be a good way, in theory, to facilitate the lease transaction.  And in fact, drafts are used every day in hundreds of lease transactions, without incident.  But there are problems with its use, and those problems can put landowners at risk.  My advice to landowners is to avoid using drafts if possible.

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